{"id":10350,"date":"2022-06-09T21:12:00","date_gmt":"2022-06-09T18:12:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/sydialogue.org\/?p=10350"},"modified":"2022-11-13T12:32:01","modified_gmt":"2022-11-13T09:32:01","slug":"russia-and-assads-regime-a-strategic-alliance-and-tactical-differences","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sydialogue.org\/en\/russia-and-assads-regime-a-strategic-alliance-and-tactical-differences\/","title":{"rendered":"Russia and Assad\u2019s Regime; A Strategic Alliance and Tactical Differences"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2 dir=\"ltr\" style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"color: #333399;\">Abstract:<\/span><\/h2>\n<p dir=\"ltr\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">Russia aims through its investment in an alliance with Assad\u2019s regime to reaffirm its role in the global arena, tying that to its ancient struggle with the west. Indeed, Russia has played a critical internationally recognised role in arranging a Syrian political solution, which is considered a big step towards its strategic goal of going back to multipolar international order and breaking the American hegemony, and that is through the Syrian door and using this issue as a venue to influence the regional and global equations.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">Indeed, Russia gives the \u201cpolitical solution\u201d in Syria great importance given that it categorizes it as a part of a broader strategy to use it as a bargaining chip in issues Russia finds more vital and important. Through its efforts in the issue, Russia has successfully subverted the political situation towards its narrative and vision for the final solution in Syria, taking advantage of leniency from the international community with regards to Russia supporting the regime\u2019s manoeuvres in the \u201cpolitical solution\u201d path.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">Nevertheless, the relationship between Russia and Assad\u2019s regime has seen some attraction and anxiety when it came to the implications and content of the \u201cpolitical solution\u201d proposed according to the Russian vision; it seems that Assad\u2019s regime supports the Russian vision and reaffirming its militaristic gains while translating them into an all-encompassing \u201cpolitical solution\u201d on its very own special terms, achieving Russia\u2019s economic and strategic goals. At the same time Assad\u2019s regime is trying to manoeuvre in the margins available to it, trying to maintain positive relations with Russia by exploiting Syria\u2019s natural resources to appease Russia, without making concessions in the \u201cpolitical solution\u201d. On the global arena Assad\u2019s regime is unashamedly and fully biased towards Russia, to the point of getting involved in Russia\u2019s wars and military interventions through mercenaries as is the case in Ukraine. In the end, Assad\u2019s regime was successful in tying the strategic goals of Russia in Syria and the region with the regime\u2019s existence and its continued rule in Syria.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">On the other hand, this might cause some anxiety in Russia, as this gives Assad\u2019s regime more room to reaffirm its sovereignty away from Russia, especially given that Russia places some restrictions on the movement of Assad\u2019s and Iranian troops in Syria with the pretext of Russia acting as an international mediator and guarantor.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">Specifically, the United States, Turkey, Jordan, and \u201cIsrael\u201d, nations that have agreements with Russia. Therefore, threatening Russia\u2019s strategic goals in Syria through ruining its agreements or relations with the involved powers, or Assad\u2019s regime allowing Iran to occupy sensitive locations in Syria on the expense of the Russians are red lines Russia grants the utmost importance.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">This led to less pressure from Russia on Assad\u2019s regime to make minor concessions in the \u201cpolitical solution\u201d, namely the constitutional assembly. Russia even stopped pressuring Assad\u2019s regime to distance itself from Iran according to the \u201cIsraeli\u201d vision and some Arab states, especially after the latest development that followed Russia\u2019s war on Ukraine.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">This report sheds light on the dynamics of the relationship between Russia and Assad\u2019s regime, it tries to predict the future of this relationship in the light of heightened political competitiveness and tension between the actors in the conflict, each trying to achieve their strategic goals and guarantees in Syria.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"http:\/\/sydialogue.org\/%d8%b1%d9%88%d8%b3%d9%8a%d8%a7-%d9%88%d9%86%d8%b8%d8%a7%d9%85-%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%a3%d8%b3%d8%af%d8%9b-%d8%aa%d8%ad%d8%a7%d9%84%d9%81-%d8%a7%d8%b3%d8%aa%d8%b1%d8%a7%d8%aa%d9%8a%d8%ac%d9%8a-%d9%88%d8%ae\/\">To read the complete paper (Arabic)<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This report sheds a light on the dynamics of the relationship between Russia and Assad\u2019s regime, it tries to predict the future of this relationship in the light of heightened political competitiveness and tension between the actors in the conflict, each trying to achieve their strategic goals and guarantees in Syria.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":10351,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[70,91,53,46],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-10350","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analytical-articles-en","category-policy-analysis-unit-en","category-progress-report-en","category-publications"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Russia and Assad\u2019s Regime; 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