{"id":10529,"date":"2022-10-03T14:37:46","date_gmt":"2022-10-03T11:37:46","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/sydialogue.org\/?p=10529"},"modified":"2022-12-04T14:44:58","modified_gmt":"2022-12-04T11:44:58","slug":"turkiyenin-esad-rejimine-acilim-nedenleri-ve-sonuclari","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sydialogue.org\/tr\/turkiyenin-esad-rejimine-acilim-nedenleri-ve-sonuclari\/","title":{"rendered":"T\u00fcrkiye’nin Esad rejimine a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131m nedenleri ve sonu\u00e7lar\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u00d6zet:<\/h1>\n

Belgede, betimsel analiz yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 kullanarak, Ankara’n\u0131n Esad rejimine a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131m karar\u0131n\u0131n arkas\u0131ndaki nedenleri, bu karar\u0131n d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015febilece\u011fi senaryolar\u0131 ve bunlarla ba\u015fa \u00e7\u0131kma yollar\u0131 inceleniyor.<\/p>\n

\u0130lk b\u00f6l\u00fcmde, Esad rejimi ile normalle\u015ftirmeye y\u00f6nelik \u00f6nceki b\u00f6lgesel \u00e7abalar g\u00f6zden ge\u00e7irildi. \u00d6zellikle Arap ba\u011flam\u0131nda, Muhalif ve Devrimci G\u00fc\u00e7lerin kendilerini Esad rejimine alternatif olarak g\u00f6sterememe nedeniyle bu alanda ikincil bir role sahip olsa da her \u00fclkenin normalle\u015fmenin arkas\u0131nda kendi ko\u015fullar\u0131 ve sebepleri oldu\u011fu a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131. Sonu\u00e7 bak\u0131m\u0131ndan ise, ger\u00e7ekler Esad rejimi ile ili\u015fkilerini normalle\u015ftiren \u00fclkelerin b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011funun hen\u00fcz arzu ettikleri hi\u00e7bir hedefe tam anlam\u0131yla ula\u015famad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi. De\u011fi\u015fimin do\u011fas\u0131 bak\u0131m\u0131ndan da, normalle\u015fme karar\u0131n\u0131n, b\u00f6lgede demokratik, halk tercihine dayal\u0131 bir siyasi sistemin varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 reddeden \u201cArap Bahar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131t g\u00fc\u00e7lerin\u201d \u00fcst\u00fcnl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan stratejik bir b\u00f6lgesel de\u011fi\u015fimi temsil etti\u011fi ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Ayr\u0131ca de\u011fi\u015fim, dalgalanmalara maruz kalan ekonomik ve g\u00fcvenlik \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131yla ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n

\u0130kinci b\u00f6l\u00fcmde T\u00fcrkiye’yi Esad rejimi kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki tutumunu de\u011fi\u015ftirmeye iten fakt\u00f6rler ele al\u0131nd\u0131. Bunlar\u0131n en \u00f6nde gelenleri uluslararas\u0131 alanda ABD’nin \u201cSDG\u201d projesini desteklemeye devam ederek T\u00fcrkiye’nin Suriye’deki g\u00fcvenlik taleplerini g\u00f6rmezden gelmesiyle Bat\u0131-T\u00fcrkiye uyumsuzlu\u011fundaki art\u0131\u015f; b\u00f6lgesel olarak ise iktidar partisinin yakla\u015fan se\u00e7imlere odaklanmak amac\u0131yla eski b\u00f6lgesel “s\u0131f\u0131r sorun” politikas\u0131na d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fc, ekonomik sorunlar\u0131 a\u015fmaya ve \u00fclke i\u00e7inde Suriyeli m\u00fcltecilerin d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fc konusunda bir at\u0131l\u0131m ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n

\u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc b\u00f6l\u00fcmde, siyasi normalle\u015fmeye varmadan di\u011fer iki (tam ve k\u0131smi normalle\u015fme) se\u00e7ene\u011fe g\u00f6re T\u00fcrkiye ile Esad rejimi aras\u0131ndaki g\u00fcvenlik koordinasyonunun art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 se\u00e7ene\u011finin daha olas\u0131 oldu\u011fu \u00f6ne s\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fc. Bunun nedeni ise, iki taraf aras\u0131nda siyasi normalle\u015fmeye yard\u0131mc\u0131 olacak beklemedeki sorunlarda fikir birli\u011finin olmamas\u0131 ve g\u00fcvenlik koordinasyonunu art\u0131rma se\u00e7ene\u011finin her iki taraf i\u00e7in de \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan yeterli g\u00f6r\u00fcnmesidir. Bu se\u00e7enek T\u00fcrkiye’ye Esad rejiminin g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc ve niyetlerini test etme imkan\u0131n\u0131 veriyor ve T\u00fcrk muhalefetinin elinden normalle\u015fme kart\u0131n\u0131 k\u0131smen al\u0131yor. \u00d6te yandan bu, Esad rejimine me\u015fruiyetinin tan\u0131nmas\u0131 ve kurtar\u0131lan b\u00f6lgeler ile rejim kontrol\u00fc alt\u0131ndaki b\u00f6lgeler aras\u0131ndaki ge\u00e7i\u015f yollar\u0131yla dolayl\u0131 ekonomik a\u00e7\u0131kl\u0131k a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan T\u00fcrk taraf\u0131ndan baz\u0131 tavizler veriyor.<\/p>\n

D\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc b\u00f6l\u00fcmde, Muhalif ve Devrimci G\u00fc\u00e7lerin normalle\u015fmeye kar\u015f\u0131 koymak i\u00e7in ba\u015fvurabilecekleri yollar ele al\u0131nd\u0131. Belge, uluslararas\u0131 kamuoyuna belirli mesajlar vermesi gereken halk hareketine g\u00fcvenilmesini tavsiye ediyor. Bu mesajlar\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda Esad rejiminin devam\u0131n\u0131n b\u00f6lgede daha fazla g\u00f6\u00e7, g\u00fcvenlik gerginli\u011finin artmas\u0131, ter\u00f6r \u00f6rg\u00fctlerine destek verilmesi, uyu\u015fturucu ticaretinin artmas\u0131 ve su\u00e7 \u00e7etelerinin yay\u0131lmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7t\u0131\u011f\u0131; ve ilgili uluslararas\u0131 kararlar\u0131n belirtti\u011fi gibi g\u00fcvenli bir ortam talebinde bulunulmas\u0131 ve Esad rejimi kontrol\u00fcndeki b\u00f6lgelere geri d\u00f6nen y\u00fczlerce ki\u015finin korkutucu kaderinin vurgulanmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fi geliyor.<\/p>\n

Belge ayr\u0131ca normalle\u015fme \u00e7abalar\u0131n\u0131 engellemedeki rol\u00fc nedeniyle insan haklar\u0131 dosyas\u0131n\u0131n kullan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 ve sivil toplumun \u00fclke i\u00e7indeki halk hareketini destekleme, reheberlik etme ve uslararas\u0131 toplulu\u011fa tan\u0131tma rollerinin etkinle\u015ftirilmesini tavsiye etti.<\/p>\n

Yaz\u0131n\u0131n tamam\u0131n\u0131 okumak i\u00e7in (Arap\u00e7a)<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Belgede, T\u00fcrkiye’yi Esad rejimine kar\u015f\u0131 tutumunu de\u011fi\u015ftirmeye iten i\u00e7 ve b\u00f6lgesel nedenlerinin analizi ama\u00e7lanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bu de\u011fi\u015fikliklerin olas\u0131 senaryolar\u0131, Muhalif ve Devrimci G\u00fc\u00e7lerin ve halk\u0131n normalle\u015fmeye kar\u015f\u0131 koymak i\u00e7in yada en az\u0131ndan s\u0131n\u0131rlmak ve olumsuz etkilerinden ka\u00e7\u0131nmak i\u00e7in ba\u015fvurabilecekleri yollar\u0131 da ara\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":10530,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[78,92,49],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-10529","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-research-and-studies-tr","category-ortak-kimlik-ve-uzlasi-birimi","category-yayinlar"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nT\u00fcrkiye'nin Esad rejimine a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131m nedenleri ve sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 - Suriye Diyalog Merkezi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Belgede, T\u00fcrkiye'yi Esad rejimine kar\u015f\u0131 tutumunu de\u011fi\u015ftirmeye iten i\u00e7 ve b\u00f6lgesel nedenlerinin analizi ama\u00e7lanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. 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