{"id":15708,"date":"2024-04-20T18:11:56","date_gmt":"2024-04-20T15:11:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/sydialogue.org\/?p=15708"},"modified":"2024-10-30T18:20:37","modified_gmt":"2024-10-30T15:20:37","slug":"iranin-israile-saldirisi-suriye-uzerindeki-baslica-yansimalari-ve-etkilerine-bakis","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sydialogue.org\/tr\/iranin-israile-saldirisi-suriye-uzerindeki-baslica-yansimalari-ve-etkilerine-bakis\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0130ran’\u0131n “\u0130srail”e Sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131: Suriye \u00dczerindeki Ba\u015fl\u0131ca Yans\u0131malar\u0131 ve Etkilerine Bak\u0131\u015f"},"content":{"rendered":"

Giri\u015f<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n

\u0130ran, 13 Nisan gecesi tarihinde ilk kez “\u0130srail”e sald\u0131r\u0131 d\u00fczenledi. Bu sald\u0131r\u0131, \u015eam\u2019daki \u0130ran konsoloslu\u011funu hedef alan ve “Devrim Muhaf\u0131zlar\u0131”ndan \u00fcst d\u00fczey komutanlar\u0131n \u00f6ld\u00fcr\u00fclmesine neden olan “\u0130srail” sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131na yan\u0131t olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirildi. Ancak Esad rejimi, bu iki sald\u0131r\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda askeri a\u00e7\u0131dan tarafs\u0131z kald\u0131. \u0130ran’\u0131n sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131na destek vermedi\u011fi gibi, tekrarlanan “Suriye egemenli\u011fi” ihlallerine de her zamanki gibi yaln\u0131zca medya veya diplomatik yollardan yan\u0131t verdi.<\/p>\n

Bununla birlikte, Amerika Birle\u015fik Devletleri’nden gelen a\u00e7\u0131klamalar, \u0130ran sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131 s\u0131ras\u0131nda Suriye, Irak ve Yemen’den f\u0131rlat\u0131lan f\u00fczelerin ve insans\u0131z hava ara\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n durduruldu\u011funu belirtti. Bu durum, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n Suriye topraklar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fcneybat\u0131da konu\u015flanm\u0131\u015f milis gruplar\u0131 arac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131yla operasyon i\u00e7in kullanm\u0131\u015f olabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n

\u0130ran’\u0131n bu sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcrpriz bir unsur ta\u015f\u0131mamas\u0131na ve do\u011frudan bir “\u0130srail”-Bat\u0131 tepkisi almamak i\u00e7in s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 tutulmas\u0131na ve “\u0130srail”de can kayb\u0131na yol a\u00e7mamas\u0131na ra\u011fmen \u00f6zellikle Suriye dosyas\u0131yla ilgili olarak bu sald\u0131r\u0131n\u0131n etkilerini takip etmek \u00f6nemlidir. \u00d6zellikle “Aksa Tufan\u0131” operasyonunun ard\u0131ndan “\u0130srail”de karar vericiler Suriye’deki “Devrim Muhaf\u0131zlar\u0131” liderlerini takip etmeye ba\u015flad\u0131 ve Esad rejiminin kontrol\u00fcndeki b\u00f6lgelerdeki \u0130ran milislerini hedef alan “\u0130srail” sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 miktar ve nitelik a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan artt\u0131.<\/p>\n

Bu ba\u011flamda, rapor, \u0130ran sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n ayr\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131na girmeksizin \u015fu sorular\u0131 yan\u0131tlamay\u0131 ama\u00e7l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

– Esad rejiminin \u0130ran sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 tutumu neydi ve neden operasyonda hi\u00e7bir rol oynamad\u0131?<\/p>\n

– \u00d6zellikle \u00dcrd\u00fcn’\u00fcn “\u0130srail”e y\u00f6nelen baz\u0131 \u0130ran f\u00fczelerini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmesinin ard\u0131ndan bu sald\u0131r\u0131n\u0131n Suriye\u2019nin g\u00fcneyinin dosyas\u0131na etkileri ne olabilir?<\/p>\n

– “\u0130srail”in Suriye’deki \u0130ran \u00fcsleri ve milislerine y\u00f6nelik askeri operasyonlar\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemdeki seyri nas\u0131l olacak?<\/p>\n

Esad Rejiminin \u0130ran Sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131na Kar\u015f\u0131 Tutumu<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n

Esad rejiminin \u0130ran’\u0131n “\u0130srail”e verdi\u011fi yan\u0131ta kar\u015f\u0131 tutumu, “Aksa Tufan\u0131” operasyonundaki tavr\u0131n\u0131n bir devam\u0131 niteli\u011findeydi. Rejimin s\u00f6zde “Direni\u015f Ekseni” ne verdi\u011fi destek, medya ve diplomatik alanlarla s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kald\u0131. Bu da Esad rejiminin medya organlar\u0131n\u0131n geni\u015f kapsaml\u0131 haberleriyle ya da rejimden gelen \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n yan\u0131t\u0131n\u0131 destekleyen resm\u00ee a\u00e7\u0131klamalarla belirginle\u015fiyor. Bu s\u0131rada, rejim ba\u015f\u0131 Be\u015far Esad’\u0131n \u0130ran ve “\u0130srail” aras\u0131ndaki gerilimle pek ilgilenmedi\u011fi, \u015eam sokaklar\u0131nda dola\u015f\u0131rken “selfie” \u00e7ekti\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fcnt\u00fcler yay\u0131mland\u0131.<\/p>\n

“\u0130srail”, \u0130ran’\u0131n tepkisine y\u00f6nelik bu medya ve diplomatik deste\u011fi umursam\u0131yor gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Zira Esad rejimi bu tutumu uzun y\u0131llard\u0131r s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmekte hatta kontrol etti\u011fi b\u00f6lgeler, \u015eam ve Halep havalimanlar\u0131n\u0131 hedef alan sald\u0131r\u0131lar gibi “\u0130srail” taraf\u0131ndan tekrar tekrar vurulmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen benzer bir tav\u0131r sergilemektedir. Bu sald\u0131r\u0131lar, \u00f6zellikle Gazze\u2019deki “Aksa Tufan\u0131” operasyonunun ard\u0131ndan daha da yo\u011funla\u015fm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n

ABD Savunma Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131, \u0130ran sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131 s\u0131ras\u0131nda Suriye’den gelen insans\u0131z hava ara\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klasa da g\u00f6zlemciler Dera ve Kuneytra b\u00f6lgelerinin bu son operasyona geni\u015f \u00e7apta dahil edilmi\u015f oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnm\u00fcyorlar. Bunun ba\u015fl\u0131ca nedenlerinden biri, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n bu yan\u0131t\u0131 kendi topraklar\u0131ndan ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmeye \u00f6zen g\u00f6stermesidir. Bu tutum, \u0130ran’a y\u00f6nelik yan\u0131t vermekteki gecikme ve hareketsizlik ele\u015ftirilerinin artmas\u0131yla ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131d\u0131r. Bu nedenle \u0130ran, sald\u0131r\u0131dan yakla\u015f\u0131k 72 saat \u00f6nce harekat\u0131 duyurmay\u0131 tercih etti.<\/p>\n

Buna ek olarak, son zamanlarda Golan s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131nda bir\u00e7ok g\u00f6zlem noktas\u0131 kurarak varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131ran Rusya fakt\u00f6r\u00fc \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kmaktad\u0131r. Bu durum, Rusya’n\u0131n Golan s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131ndaki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n temposunu kontrol alt\u0131na alarak \u0130ran milislerinin hareketlerini s\u0131n\u0131rlamaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Bu da \u00f6zellikle son zamanlarda Suriye topraklar\u0131n\u0131n “\u0130srail\u201d e y\u00f6nelik f\u00fcze sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n azalmas\u0131, “Aksa Tufan\u0131” operasyonunun ard\u0131ndan ilk haftalardaki duruma k\u0131yasla a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a g\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir.<\/p>\n

Bu iki fakt\u00f6rle birlikte Esad rejiminin, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n “\u0130srail”e y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 destek vermeye istekli olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00f6ylenebilir. Bu durum, Esad rejiminin “\u0130srail”e y\u00f6nelik ciddi bir tehdit olu\u015fturmaktan uzak kalmas\u0131yla da g\u00f6r\u00fcnmektedir. Gazze Sava\u015f\u0131 \u00f6ncesi ve sonras\u0131nda da oldu\u011fu gibi Esad rejimi s\u0131kl\u0131kla “\u0130srail” sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131na, Suriye’nin kuzeybat\u0131s\u0131ndaki sivil b\u00f6lgeleri bombalayarak yan\u0131t vermektedir.<\/p>\n

Esad rejiminin “\u0130srail”e kar\u015f\u0131 bir yan\u0131t vermekten ka\u00e7\u0131nmas\u0131 hem kendi \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131na hem de \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131na hizmet etmektedir. Ayn\u0131 zamanda, rejimle normalle\u015fen baz\u0131 Arap \u00fclkelerinin de \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131na uygun bir durumdur. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc “\u0130srail” tutumu Esad rejiminin iktidarda kalmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flayan \u00f6nemli bir unsurdur. Bu nedenle, Esad rejiminin “\u0130srail”i k\u0131\u015fk\u0131rtmamas\u0131, “\u0130srail”le olan dengenin korunmas\u0131nda \u00f6nemli bir rol oynamaktad\u0131r. Tahran da bunu g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcnde bulundurarak Esad rejiminin “\u0130srail”e kar\u015f\u0131 yan\u0131t vermesindense rejimin tamamen kaybedilmesi riskine kar\u015f\u0131 temkinli davranmaktad\u0131r. Di\u011fer bir deyi\u015fle \u0130ran, Esad rejiminin “\u0130srail”e kar\u015f\u0131 yan\u0131t vermemesini, rejimi tamamen kaybetme se\u00e7ene\u011fine tercih etmektedir.<\/p>\n

Esad rejimiyle normalle\u015fen Arap \u00fclkeleri ve \u00f6zellikle Birle\u015fik Arap Emirlikleri (BAE), bu denklemin fark\u0131ndad\u0131r. BAE, Esad rejiminin yan\u0131t vermemesini, \u0130ran’\u0131n Suriye’deki n\u00fcfuzunu s\u0131n\u0131rlama konusunda rejime g\u00fcvenilebilece\u011fine dair bir i\u015faret olarak g\u00f6rmektedir ve bunu medya ve diplomatik d\u00fczeyde kullanabilmektedir.<\/p>\n

B\u00fct\u00fcn bu fakt\u00f6rler, Esad rejiminin yan\u0131t vermemesinin hem kendi \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131na hem de \u0130ran’\u0131n \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131na oldu\u011funu, ayn\u0131 zamanda “\u0130srail”in rejimin d\u00fc\u015fmesine kar\u015f\u0131 vetosunun devam etmesini sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6stermektedir. Ayr\u0131ca rejimle normalle\u015fen Arap \u00fclkelerinin de Esad rejiminin \u0130ran milislerinin n\u00fcfuzunu s\u0131n\u0131rlama kapasitesine sahip oldu\u011funu g\u00f6stermesinde, \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131 oldu\u011funa i\u015faret etmektedir.<\/p>\n

Suriye G\u00fcneyindeki \u0130ran Varl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve Uyu\u015fturucu Ka\u00e7ak\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00dczerine Sald\u0131r\u0131n\u0131n Etkileri<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n

\u00dcrd\u00fcn’\u00fcn, “\u0130srail”e y\u00f6nelen baz\u0131 \u0130ran f\u00fczeleri ve insans\u0131z hava ara\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmesi, \u0130ran ile ili\u015fkileri s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir \u015fekilde etkiledi. \u0130ran, \u00dcrd\u00fcn’\u00fcn rol\u00fcn\u00fc \u015feytanla\u015ft\u0131rmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131 ve bu nedenle \u00dcrd\u00fcn, \u0130ran b\u00fcy\u00fckel\u00e7isini, “hakaret” olarak g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc \u0130ran a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131 nedeniyle protesto amac\u0131yla \u00e7a\u011f\u0131rd\u0131. Oysa diplomasi ve hukuk alanlar\u0131ndaki uzmanlar, \u00dcrd\u00fcn’\u00fcn hava sahas\u0131n\u0131 ihlal eden f\u00fczeleri d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrme hakk\u0131na sahip oldu\u011funu belirtiyorlar.<\/p>\n

\u0130ran medyas\u0131nda, \u00dcrd\u00fcn’\u00fcn \u0130ran f\u00fczeleri ve insans\u0131z hava ara\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmesi durumunda “bir sonraki hedef” olabilece\u011fine dair ifadeler dikkat \u00e7ekti. B\u00f6ylece \u0130ran’\u0131n \u00dcrd\u00fcn-Suriye s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131nda, insans\u0131z hava ara\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n ve f\u00fczelerinin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclmesine yan\u0131t olarak ad\u0131mlar atabilece\u011fin\u0131n kap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 aral\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Bu noktada, Suriye g\u00fcneybat\u0131s\u0131nda aktif olan ve \u00dcrd\u00fcn\u2019\u00fc uyu\u015fturucu ile bo\u011fmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan \u0130ran yanl\u0131s\u0131 milislerin rol\u00fc \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kmaktad\u0131r. \u00c7e\u015fitli ka\u00e7ak\u00e7\u0131l\u0131k yollar\u0131 ve e\u011fitimli a\u011flar arac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131yla hareket eden bu milisler, \u00dcrd\u00fcn ordusunu birden fazla kez \u015fiddetli \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalara ve s\u0131n\u0131rda s\u00fcrekli bir teyakkuz halinde kalmas\u0131na zorlad\u0131. \u0130ran’\u0131n kollar\u0131, “Aksa Tufan\u0131” operasyonunun ilk g\u00fcnlerinde Gazze’ye destek verme bahanesiyle \u00dcrd\u00fcn s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131n\u0131n yan\u0131nda toplanarak s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131 ge\u00e7meye \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

Bu ba\u011flamda, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n Suriye g\u00fcneyindeki kollar\u0131 arac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131yla \u00dcrd\u00fcn\u2019e y\u00f6nelik uyu\u015fturucu ve silah ka\u00e7ak\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 giri\u015fimlerini art\u0131rmas\u0131 olas\u0131d\u0131r. Bu durum \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n y\u0131llard\u0131r hedefledi\u011fi ve \u00dcrd\u00fcn\u2019\u00fcn istikrar\u0131n\u0131 bozarak onu kaosa s\u00fcr\u00fcklemeyi ama\u00e7lad\u0131\u011f\u0131 stratejik bir hedefidir. \u0130ran, Suriye, Irak, L\u00fcbnan ve Yemen gibi m\u00fcdahale etti\u011fi \u00fclkelerde kaos yaratm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. \u00dcrd\u00fcn’\u00fcn, “\u0130ran\u2019\u0131n dini faaliyetlerini” s\u0131n\u0131rlama ve \u00dcrd\u00fcn g\u00fcneyinde “\u015eii hac merkezlerinin” kurulmas\u0131n\u0131 reddetme \u00e7abalar\u0131, \u0130ran’\u0131n di\u011fer \u00fclkelerde kulland\u0131\u011f\u0131 yumu\u015fak g\u00fc\u00e7 ara\u00e7lar\u0131yla \u00dcrd\u00fcn’de n\u00fcfuz kazanma giri\u015fimlerine kar\u015f\u0131 bir \u00f6nlem olarak de\u011ferlendirilebilir.<\/p>\n

\u0130ran Sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131ndan Sonra “\u0130srail” Suriye’deki Operasyonlar\u0131n\u0131 Geni\u015fletecek mi?<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n

\u0130ran’\u0131n “\u0130srail”e y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131, “Tel Aviv” ve m\u00fcttefiklerinin bilgisi dahilinde olmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen, “\u0130srail” bu sald\u0131r\u0131lara \u0130ran’\u0131n derinliklerinde kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k verece\u011fi tehdidinde bulundu. “\u0130srail”in \u0130sfahan’a y\u00f6nelik s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131na ra\u011fmen ABD ve baz\u0131 Avrupa Birli\u011fi \u00fclkeleri, sava\u015f\u0131 geni\u015fletmemesi ve durumu kontrol alt\u0131nda tutmas\u0131 i\u00e7in “Tel Aviv”e bask\u0131 yap\u0131yor gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcnmektedir. Ancak “\u0130srail” Ba\u015fbakan\u0131 B\u00fcnyamin Netanyahu sava\u015f\u0131n geni\u015flemesini sa\u011flayacak bahaneler \u00fcretmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmaktad\u0131r.\u00a0 Netanyahu’nun \u00e7abalar\u0131 Gazze’de ate\u015fkes yap\u0131lmas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik artan uluslararas\u0131 bask\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda sava\u015f\u0131n durdurulmas\u0131n\u0131 engellemeye y\u00f6nelik bir strateji olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

“\u0130srail”in, \u0130ran topraklar\u0131ndaki sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 geni\u015fletmemesi, Suriye’deki \u0130ran’\u0131n n\u00fcfuz alanlar\u0131n\u0131 hedef almas\u0131na yol a\u00e7abilir. Zaten “\u0130srail”, \u0130ran’\u0131n Suriye’deki milislerine y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 geni\u015fletmek i\u00e7in ek nedenlere ihtiya\u00e7 duymuyor. “Aksa Tufan\u0131” operasyonundan bu yana, “\u0130srail” Suriye’deki \u0130ran hedeflerine y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 yo\u011funla\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131. Bu durum da \u00f6zellikle Suriye’deki Devrim Muhaf\u0131zlar\u0131 liderlerinin hareketlerinin dikkatle izlendi\u011fini ve “\u0130srail” i\u00e7in tehdit olu\u015fturabilecek her hedefin \u00f6rne\u011fin, \u015eam’daki \u0130ran konsoloslu\u011fu gibi yerleri \u00e7ekinmeden vurulabilece\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n

Bu ba\u011flamda, \u0130ran’\u0131n “\u0130srail”e y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n, “\u0130srail”deki karar vericileri Suriye’deki sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 art\u0131rmaya sevk etmeyece\u011fi s\u00f6ylenebilir. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc bu sald\u0131r\u0131lar zaten devam ediyor ve \u0130ran’\u0131n son sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131 onun medya ve siyasi uzant\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n iddialar\u0131n\u0131n aksine “\u0130srail”in yeni sald\u0131r\u0131lar yapmas\u0131n\u0131 engelleyen bir cayd\u0131r\u0131c\u0131l\u0131k olu\u015fturmad\u0131.<\/p>\n

Sonu\u00e7<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n

Ekim 2023\u2019te Gazze’deki sava\u015f\u0131n ba\u015flamas\u0131ndan ve Nisan ay\u0131nda \u0130ran ile “\u0130srail” aras\u0131ndaki s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 gerilime kadar, Esad rejimi h\u00e2l\u00e2 ger\u00e7eklikten kopuk bir durumda varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmektedir. Esad rejimi, kendisini “\u0130srail”i tehdit eden herhangi bir denklemden -\u015feklen bile olsa- d\u0131\u015far\u0131da tutmaktad\u0131r. Bu durum, yaln\u0131zca bir propaganda arac\u0131 olarak medyas\u0131nda kulland\u0131\u011f\u0131 “direni\u015f” sloganlar\u0131 kullanan Esad rejimi i\u00e7in ola\u011fan bir h\u00e2l olarak kabul edilebilir. Esad, kendi iktidar\u0131n\u0131 “\u0130srail”in g\u00fcvenli\u011fiyle ili\u015fkilendirmektedir ve ya\u015fananlara g\u00f6re “\u0130srail” de bu konuda onunla ayn\u0131 fikirde oldu\u011funu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Bu nedenle, “\u0130srail” sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131nda Esad rejimini hedef almadan \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n Suriye\u2019deki \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131na odaklanmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n

\u0130ran\u2019\u0131n da dahil oldu\u011fu b\u00f6lgesel mutabakata g\u00f6re Suriye topraklar\u0131n\u0131n geni\u015f \u00e7apl\u0131 bir \u015fekilde “\u0130srail”e y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131larda kullan\u0131lmamas\u0131 genel olarak kabul g\u00f6rmektedir. Ancak bu mutabakata ra\u011fmen Esad rejiminin \u0130ran\u2019a olan sadakatini kan\u0131tlayan baz\u0131 ad\u0131mlar atmayaca\u011f\u0131 anlam\u0131na gelmez. \u00d6zellikle \u0130ran yanl\u0131s\u0131 milislerin \u00dcrd\u00fcn\u2019e kaos yayma giri\u015fimlerini, uyu\u015fturucu ve silah ka\u00e7ak\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131yla desteklemesi muhtemeldir. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc \u0130ran milisleri ve Esad rejimi, bu ticarette kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kara dayal\u0131 bir ili\u015fki i\u00e7indedir.<\/p>\n

Ayn\u0131 zamanda Esad rejimi, Devrim Muhaf\u0131zlar\u0131 komutanlar\u0131n\u0131n kontrol\u00fcndeki b\u00f6lgelerdeki hareketlerine kay\u0131ts\u0131z kalmaya devam edecektir. Bu hareketler, do\u011frudan Esad rejimi i\u00e7in bir tehdit olu\u015fturmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve “\u0130srail”in bu komutanlar\u0131 hedef almas\u0131 “\u0130srail”in g\u00fcvenli\u011fi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan onu tatmin edece\u011fi s\u00fcrece sorun te\u015fkil etmez. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla Esad rejimi, Suriye topraklar\u0131ndaki bu s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 ve ge\u00e7ici \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalarda iki taraf\u0131n da deste\u011fini kazanmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015farak dengeli bir tutum sergilemektedir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u0130ran, 13 Nisan gecesi tarihinde ilk kez “\u0130srail”e sald\u0131r\u0131 d\u00fczenledi. Bu sald\u0131r\u0131, \u015eam\u2019daki \u0130ran konsoloslu\u011funu hedef alan ve “Devrim Muhaf\u0131zlar\u0131”ndan \u00fcst d\u00fczey komutanlar\u0131n \u00f6ld\u00fcr\u00fclmesine neden olan “\u0130srail” sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131na yan\u0131t olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirildi. Ancak Esad rejimi, bu iki sald\u0131r\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda askeri a\u00e7\u0131dan tarafs\u0131z kald\u0131. \u0130ran’\u0131n sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131na destek vermedi\u011fi gibi, tekrarlanan “Suriye egemenli\u011fi” ihlallerine de her zamanki gibi yaln\u0131zca medya veya diplomatik yollardan yan\u0131t verdi.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":13,"featured_media":15709,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[54,94,49],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-15708","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-gelisim-raporlar","category-politika-analizi-birimi","category-yayinlar"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n\u0130ran'\u0131n "\u0130srail"e Sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131: Suriye \u00dczerindeki Ba\u015fl\u0131ca Yans\u0131malar\u0131 ve Etkilerine Bak\u0131\u015f - Suriye Diyalog Merkezi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\u0130ran, 13 Nisan gecesi tarihinde ilk kez "\u0130srail"e sald\u0131r\u0131 d\u00fczenledi. 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